Control Orientado vs Ezeiza: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ezeiza the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Control Orientado. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Control Orientado vs Ezeiza?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Control Orientado (1,674) and Ezeiza (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Control Orientado have 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ezeiza have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate(away) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Uribelarrea(home) | 1-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate(home) | 3-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Uribelarrea(away) | 2-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(home) | 2-6 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Everton La Plata(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Control Orientado win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ezeiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Ezeiza 3-2 Control Orientado | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Ezeiza vs Control Orientado on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Control Orientado score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 14; Ezeiza score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Control Orientado | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/14 | 5/14 |
| Ezeiza | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Control Orientado sit 8th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (19 points from 14 matches) and Ezeiza sit 11th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Control Orientado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Ezeiza | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Control Orientado | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 19 |
| 11 | Ezeiza | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Control Orientado vs Ezeiza?
- The Footlab model makes Ezeiza the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Control Orientado.
- Where and when is Control Orientado vs Ezeiza played?
- Control Orientado vs Ezeiza is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.