Uribelarrea vs Las Mandarinas: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Uribelarrea the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Las Mandarinas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uribelarrea vs Las Mandarinas?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Uribelarrea (1,710) and Las Mandarinas (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Uribelarrea have 6 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Las Mandarinas have 4, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Everton La Plata(away) | 3-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ezeiza(home) | 2-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(home) | 1-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Control Orientado(away) | 2-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(home) | 1-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Everton La Plata(away) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(home) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Uribelarrea win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Las Mandarinas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Las Mandarinas 1-2 Uribelarrea | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Las Mandarinas vs Uribelarrea on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uribelarrea score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 14; Las Mandarinas score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uribelarrea | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/14 | 6/14 |
| Las Mandarinas | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/13 | 5/13 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uribelarrea sit 5th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (23 points from 14 matches) and Las Mandarinas sit 13th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Uribelarrea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Uribelarrea | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
| 9 | Las Mandarinas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 | Las Mandarinas | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uribelarrea vs Las Mandarinas?
- The Footlab model makes Uribelarrea the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Las Mandarinas.
- Where and when is Uribelarrea vs Las Mandarinas played?
- Uribelarrea vs Las Mandarinas is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.