Buenos Aires City vs Barrancas UMET: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barrancas UMET the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Buenos Aires City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buenos Aires City vs Barrancas UMET?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Buenos Aires City (1,702) and Barrancas UMET (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Buenos Aires City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Barrancas UMET have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Control Orientado(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate(home) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Uribelarrea(away) | 3-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(home) | 4-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Everton La Plata(home) | 2-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Control Orientado(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Uribelarrea(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(away) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Las Mandarinas(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Buenos Aires City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Barrancas UMET win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Barrancas UMET 0-0 Buenos Aires City | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Barrancas UMET vs Buenos Aires City on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buenos Aires City score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 14; Barrancas UMET score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenos Aires City | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/14 | 5/14 |
| Barrancas UMET | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buenos Aires City sit 6th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (22 points from 14 matches) and Barrancas UMET sit 2nd (29 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barrancas UMET | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Barrancas UMET | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | Buenos Aires City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Buenos Aires City | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buenos Aires City vs Barrancas UMET?
- The Footlab model makes Barrancas UMET the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Buenos Aires City.
- Where and when is Buenos Aires City vs Barrancas UMET played?
- Buenos Aires City vs Barrancas UMET is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.