Benevento vs Pisa: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
The Footlab model makes Benevento the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Pisa. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benevento vs Pisa?
Benevento starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benevento have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pisa have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 5-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Padova(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus U23(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Benevento win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Pisa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Pisa 2-0 Benevento | Serie B |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Benevento 0-0 Pisa | Serie B |
| May 21, 2022 | Pisa 1-0 Benevento | Serie B |
| May 17, 2022 | Benevento 1-0 Pisa | Serie B |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Benevento 5-1 Pisa | Serie B |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Pisa 1-0 Benevento | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Benevento score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pisa score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Pisa | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benevento sit 15th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Pisa sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Benevento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pisa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benevento vs Pisa?
- The Footlab model makes Benevento the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Pisa.
- Where and when is Benevento vs Pisa played?
- Benevento vs Pisa is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.