Carrarese vs Avellino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Avellino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carrarese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Avellino?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Carrarese (1,844) and Avellino (1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Avellino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 23M. Braunöder
- 28J. Martini
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 20M. Palumbo
- 39M. Besaggio
- 2F. Missori
- 6L. Palmiero
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 4A. Izzo
- 50T. Martinelli
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 09:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Avellino have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Padova(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Carrarese win, 0 draws, 1 Avellino win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Avellino 1-2 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Carrarese 3-4 Avellino | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Avellino vs Carrarese on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Avellino score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Avellino | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 17th in Serie B (7 points from 8 matches) and Avellino sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Carrarese vs Avellino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Avellino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Avellino.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Avellino played?
- Carrarese vs Avellino is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.