Palermo vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palermo vs Virtus Entella?
Palermo starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palermo vs Virtus Entella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palermo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Virtus Entella have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Palermo wins, 2 draws, 0 Virtus Entella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Palermo 3-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| May 21, 2022 | Palermo 2-2 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 17, 2022 | Virtus Entella 1-2 Palermo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 29, 2018 | Virtus Entella 1-2 Palermo | Serie B |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Palermo 2-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Palermo vs Virtus Entella on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palermo sit 1st in Serie B (16 points from 6 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Palermo vs Virtus Entella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palermo vs Virtus Entella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Palermo vs Virtus Entella played?
- Palermo vs Virtus Entella is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renzo Barbera, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.