Ascoli vs Modena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Modena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ascoli vs Modena?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Ascoli (1,964) and Modena (1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ascoli vs Modena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 62T. Milanese
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Modena
3-5-2- 10G. Caso
- 70G. Ambrosino
- 16G. Brugman
- 42A. Bianco
- 72G. Olzer
- 8S. Santoro
- 27Paulo Azzi
- 6S. Nador
- 20B. Nieling
- 77D. Tonoli
- 1L. Chichizola
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascoli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Modena have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ascoli win, 1 draw, 2 Modena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Ascoli 0-0 Modena | Serie B |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Modena 1-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Modena 0-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Ascoli 1-2 Modena | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Modena score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Modena | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ascoli sit 5th in Serie B (11 points from 6 matches) and Modena sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
A question about Ascoli vs Modena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Modena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Modena.
- Where and when is Ascoli vs Modena played?
- Ascoli vs Modena is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.