Padova vs Cesena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab AI model makes Padova the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cesena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Padova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Cesena?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Padova (1,810) and Cesena (1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Padova vs Cesena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Cesena
4-3-3- 9C. Shpendi
- 27M. Dalla Vecchia
- 80A. Fiori
- 25D. Bisoli
- 10R. Pagano
- 32E. Bohinen
- 15A. Ciofi
- 6M. Ilić
- 24M. Mangraviti
- 7G. Frabotta
- 1A. Siano
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Cesena have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Padova wins, 3 draws, 1 Cesena win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Cesena 3-4 Padova | Serie B |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Padova 1-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Cesena 3-1 Padova | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Padova 0-0 Cesena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 2, 2020 | Cesena 0-2 Padova | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Cesena 1-1 Padova | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Padova sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Cesena sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Padova vs Cesena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Cesena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Padova the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cesena.
- Where and when is Padova vs Cesena played?
- Padova vs Cesena is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.