Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Jorge Basadre
The Footlab model makes Bentín Tacna Heroica the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Santos. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Bentín Tacna Heroica (1,594) and Santos (1,507).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bentín Tacna Heroica have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Santos have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Comerciantes(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportivo Binacional(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Minas(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alianza Universidad(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Comerciantes(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Deportivo Binacional(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bentín Tacna Heroica win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Santos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Santos 2-1 Bentín Tacna Heroica | Segunda División |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Bentín Tacna Heroica 4-0 Santos | Segunda División |
| May 2, 2025 | Santos 4-1 Bentín Tacna Heroica | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Santos vs Bentín Tacna Heroica on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bentín Tacna Heroica score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Santos score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bentín Tacna Heroica | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Santos | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bentín Tacna Heroica sit 1st in Segunda División (25 points from 13 matches) and Santos sit 3rd (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bentín Tacna Heroica | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Santos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos?
- The Footlab model makes Bentín Tacna Heroica the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Santos.
- Where and when is Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos played?
- Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jorge Basadre, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.