Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Huamachuco, Huamachuco
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Llacuabamba the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Union Comercio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Deportivo Llacuabamba (1,536) and Union Comercio (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Llacuabamba have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Union Comercio have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cesar Vallejo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportiva Agropecuaria(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | U. San Martin(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Carlos A. Mannucci(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jun 20, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Carlos A. Mannucci(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Molinos El Pirata(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Academia Cantolao(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cesar Vallejo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Copa De La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Deportivo Llacuabamba win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Union Comercio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Union Comercio 0-0 Deportivo Llacuabamba | Segunda División |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Deportivo Llacuabamba 0-3 Union Comercio | Segunda División |
| May 1, 2022 | Union Comercio 2-0 Deportivo Llacuabamba | Segunda División |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Deportivo Llacuabamba 0-2 Union Comercio | Segunda División |
| Jul 21, 2021 | Union Comercio 3-1 Deportivo Llacuabamba | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Llacuabamba score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Union Comercio score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Union Comercio | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Llacuabamba sit 2nd in Segunda División (23 points from 11 matches) and Union Comercio sit 1st (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
| 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Llacuabamba the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Union Comercio.
- Where and when is Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio played?
- Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Huamachuco, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.