Deportivo Binacional vs Comerciantes: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Guillermo Briceño Rosamedina, Juliaca
The Footlab model makes Comerciantes the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Deportivo Binacional. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Binacional vs Comerciantes?
Comerciantes starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,614 vs 1,426).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Binacional have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Comerciantes have 4, 10 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 1-7 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Minas(home) | 1-8 | Segunda División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Estudiantil CNI(away) | 0-9 | Segunda División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bentín Tacna Heroica(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Minas(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Estudiantil CNI(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bentín Tacna Heroica(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alianza Universidad(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Deportivo Binacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Comerciantes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Comerciantes 3-0 Deportivo Binacional | Segunda División |
| Jul 9, 2024 | Comerciantes 6-1 Deportivo Binacional | Segunda División |
| May 20, 2024 | Deportivo Binacional 2-0 Comerciantes | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Comerciantes vs Deportivo Binacional on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Binacional score 0.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Comerciantes score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Binacional | 0.9 | 3.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Comerciantes | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Binacional sit 9th in Segunda División (6 points from 13 matches) and Comerciantes sit 2nd (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Comerciantes | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportivo Binacional | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Binacional vs Comerciantes?
- The Footlab model makes Comerciantes the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Deportivo Binacional.
- Where and when is Deportivo Binacional vs Comerciantes played?
- Deportivo Binacional vs Comerciantes is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Guillermo Briceño Rosamedina, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.