U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Hugo Sotil Yerén, Lima
The Footlab model makes U. San Martin the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Cesar Vallejo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate U. San Martin (1,457) and Cesar Vallejo (1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, U. San Martin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cesar Vallejo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportiva Agropecuaria(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Llacuabamba(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Carlos A. Mannucci(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Molinos El Pirata(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Academia Cantolao(away) | 3-4 | Copa De La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Llacuabamba(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Carlos A. Mannucci(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Molinos El Pirata(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Academia Cantolao(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Union Comercio(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 U. San Martin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cesar Vallejo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Cesar Vallejo 0-1 U. San Martin | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2022 | U. San Martin 1-1 Cesar Vallejo | Primera División |
| Jun 19, 2022 | Cesar Vallejo 2-0 U. San Martin | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2021 | U. San Martin 0-1 Cesar Vallejo | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2020 | U. San Martin 0-1 Cesar Vallejo | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Cesar Vallejo 0-1 U. San Martin | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
U. San Martin score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cesar Vallejo score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. San Martin | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Cesar Vallejo | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
U. San Martin sit 5th in Segunda División (17 points from 12 matches) and Cesar Vallejo sit 6th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | U. San Martin | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Cesar Vallejo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo?
- The Footlab model makes U. San Martin the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Cesar Vallejo.
- Where and when is U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo played?
- U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hugo Sotil Yerén, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.