Estudiantil CNI vs Alianza Universidad: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Max Augustín, Iquitos
The Footlab model makes Estudiantil CNI the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alianza Universidad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estudiantil CNI vs Alianza Universidad?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Estudiantil CNI (1,484) and Alianza Universidad (1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estudiantil CNI have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Alianza Universidad have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Comerciantes(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Binacional(home) | 9-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Minas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Santos(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Comerciantes(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Minas(home) | 3-1 | Copa De La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Estudiantil CNI win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alianza Universidad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Alianza Universidad 2-0 Estudiantil CNI | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Alianza Universidad vs Estudiantil CNI on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estudiantil CNI score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Universidad score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantil CNI | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Alianza Universidad | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estudiantil CNI sit 8th in Segunda División (13 points from 11 matches) and Alianza Universidad sit 6th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alianza Universidad | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estudiantil CNI vs Alianza Universidad?
- The Footlab model makes Estudiantil CNI the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alianza Universidad.
- Where and when is Estudiantil CNI vs Alianza Universidad played?
- Estudiantil CNI vs Alianza Universidad is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Max Augustín, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.