Malvern Town vs Evesham United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Malvern Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Evesham United?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,755) and Evesham United (1,742).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malvern Town vs Evesham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Evesham United
Not enough data to predict the Evesham United lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Malvern Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Evesham United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2025 | Evesham United 1-0 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Play-offs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Malvern Town 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Evesham United 0-2 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Evesham United 0-2 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Malvern Town 2-3 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Malvern Town on May 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern Town score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Evesham United | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 11 matches) and Evesham United sit 13th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Evesham United | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 13 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 8 |
A question about Malvern Town vs Evesham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Evesham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Malvern Town vs Evesham United played?
- Malvern Town vs Evesham United is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026BerkhamstedvsBracknell Town
- Dec 26, 2026Frome TownvsPoole Town
- Dec 26, 2026UxbridgevsChertsey Town
- Dec 26, 2026Basingstoke TownvsWimborne Town
- Dec 26, 2026Chichester CityvsGosport Borough
- Dec 26, 2026SholingvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 26, 2026Yate TownvsBath City
- Dec 26, 2026Gloucester CityvsChippenham Town