Match

Malvern Town vs Evesham United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire

Malvern TownEvesham United

The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malvern Town vs Evesham United?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,794) and Evesham United (1,713).

Malvern Town win55 %
Draw22 %
Evesham United win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malvern Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Taunton Town(away)2-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanwell Town(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Malvern Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Evesham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 5, 2025Evesham United 1-0 Malvern TownNon League Div One - Play-offs
Feb 15, 2025Malvern Town 1-0 Evesham UnitedNon League Div One - Southern South
Oct 29, 2024Evesham United 0-2 Malvern TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Apr 1, 2024Evesham United 0-2 Malvern TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Dec 26, 2023Malvern Town 2-3 Evesham UnitedNon League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Malvern Town on May 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malvern Town1.91.848/1511/15
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Evesham United42028106
22Malvern Town40224102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Evesham United?
The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Evesham United.
Where and when is Malvern Town vs Evesham United played?
Malvern Town vs Evesham United is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Malvern Town and Evesham United

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