Malvern Town vs Evesham United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Evesham United?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,794) and Evesham United (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Malvern Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Evesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2025 | Evesham United 1-0 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Play-offs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Malvern Town 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Evesham United 0-2 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Evesham United 0-2 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Malvern Town 2-3 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Malvern Town on May 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Evesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Malvern Town vs Evesham United played?
- Malvern Town vs Evesham United is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026BerkhamstedvsBracknell Town
- Dec 26, 2026Frome TownvsPoole Town
- Dec 26, 2026UxbridgevsChertsey Town
- Dec 26, 2026Basingstoke TownvsWimborne Town
- Dec 26, 2026Chichester CityvsGosport Borough
- Dec 26, 2026SholingvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 26, 2026Yate TownvsBath City
- Dec 26, 2026Gloucester CityvsChippenham Town