CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Ludogorets. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia (1,944) and Ludogorets (1,968).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 14P. Stanić
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 18I. Chochev
- 17Son
- 42S. Shishkov
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 2J. Andersson
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ludogorets have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CSKA Sofia wins, 2 draws, 2 Ludogorets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Ludogorets 1-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| May 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets | First League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 0-0 Ludogorets | Cup |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Ludogorets 1-2 CSKA Sofia | Cup |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ludogorets 3-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 0-0 Ludogorets | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ludogorets | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia sit 2nd in First League (27 points from 11 matches) and Ludogorets sit 3rd (26 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
A question about CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Ludogorets.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets played?
- CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.