Vihren vs Lokomotiv Sofia: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Sandanski
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Vihren. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vihren vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On Elo ratings, Vihren has 1,713 points and Lokomotiv Sofia 1,689.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vihren vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vihren
4-3-3- 8Mario Ivov
- 29P. Yordanov
- 23D. Manolev
- 22A. Tungarov
- 73V. Bengyuzov
- 7Monir Al Badarin
- 21A. Bashliev
- 26K. Hadzhiev
- 25A. Kilov
- 5I. Arsov
- 99A. Mihaylov
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vihren have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Vihren score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vihren | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Vihren vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vihren vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Vihren.
- Where and when is Vihren vs Lokomotiv Sofia played?
- Vihren vs Lokomotiv Sofia is played on October 17, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Neftochimic BurgasvsCSKA 1948
- Oct 16, 2026Yantra 2019vsLokomotiv Plovdiv
- Oct 17, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsHebar 1918
- Oct 17, 2026Akademik SvishtovvsSlavia Sofia
- Oct 17, 2026MarekvsCherno More Varna
- Oct 17, 2026Rilski SportistvsDunav Ruse
- Oct 17, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsSeptemvri Sofia
- Oct 17, 2026BeroevsLudogorets