Where and when is Marek vs Beroe played?

Marek vs Beroe is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marek vs Beroe: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

Marek

Beroe

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Beroe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Beroe?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Marek (1,631) and Beroe (1,658).

Marek win44 %

Draw28 %

Beroe win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Beroe have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	4-2	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Montana(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 7, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Spartak Pleven(away)	1-2	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Fratria(away)	1-0	Second League

Beroe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Fratria(away)	0-2	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Ludogorets II(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)	0-1	Second League
Jul 24, 2026	Hebar 1918(home)	2-1	Second League
Jul 18, 2026	Zagorets(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marek	1.0	0.9	7	4/15	6/15
Beroe	1.0	1.1	5	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 10th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Marek	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
11	Beroe	4	2	0	2	4	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Beroe?: The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Beroe.
Where and when is Marek vs Beroe played?: Marek vs Beroe is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.