Beroe vs Vihren: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Vihren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beroe vs Vihren?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Beroe (1,657) and Vihren (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vihren have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vihren score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Vihren | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Vihren sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vihren | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Vihren?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Vihren.
- Where and when is Beroe vs Vihren played?
- Beroe vs Vihren is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026NesebarvsFratria
- Nov 14, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsCSKA Sofia II
- Nov 14, 2026DobrudzhavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Nov 14, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsMontana
- Nov 14, 2026Yantra 2019vsLudogorets II
- Nov 14, 2026MarekvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Nov 14, 2026Rilski SportistvsHebar 1918
- Nov 14, 2026Sportist SvogevsSpartak Pleven