Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Gorna Oryahovitsa
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II?
CSKA Sofia II starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; CSKA Sofia II have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 CSKA Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-3 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 1-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| May 11, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 2-4 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-1 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 9th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and CSKA Sofia II sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II played?
- Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.