Match

Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: prediction and stats

Second LeagueMatchday 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

MarekChernomorets 1919 Burgas

The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chernomorets 1919 Burgas wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,602).

28%26%46%
Marek winDrawChernomorets 1919 Burgas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marek

4-3-3
  1. 10N. Ganchev
  2. 11M. Miletić
  3. 19Dimitar Goranov
  1. 16S. Mechev
  2. 13V. Lyubomirov
  3. 90P. Georgiev
  1. 23E. Viyachki
  2. 2Nikolay Plyakov
  3. 44H. Kaymakanski
  4. 38A. Dyulgerov
  1. 21K. Kostadinov

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

4-3-3
  1. 9Z. Petkov
  2. 11K. Dobrev
  3. 96R. Kostenski
  1. 4I. Klimentov
  2. 10K. Kolev
  3. 8E. Yanchev
  1. 30N. Zhelyazkov
  2. 6A. Dimitrov
  3. 13V. Santos
  4. 13Correia
  1. 15G. Argilashki

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Hebar 1918(away)1-3Second League
Oct 30, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)1-3Second League
Oct 23, 2026Vihren(away)1-1Second League
Oct 17, 2026Cherno More Varna(home)0-3Cup
Oct 10, 2026Beroe(home)3-2Second League
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Yantra 2019(home)3-3Second League
Oct 31, 2026Nesebar(away)2-1Second League
Oct 23, 2026Sportist Svoge(home)1-1Second League
Oct 18, 2026Botev Plovdiv(home)0-4Cup
Oct 10, 2026Dobrudzha(away)3-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Marek wins, 0 draws, 1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 11, 2026Marek 3-0 Chernomorets 1919 BurgasSecond League
Nov 8, 2025Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3-0 MarekSecond League
Nov 29, 2023Marek 3-1 Chernomorets 1919 BurgasSecond League
Jul 18, 2023Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-2 MarekSecond League

Last archived meeting: Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on May 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marek1.31.556/159/15
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1.81.166/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 13th in Second League (18 points from 15 matches) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd (29 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852271329
13Marek15537172118

A question about Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Marek.
Where and when is Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas played?
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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