Where and when is Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas played?

Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

Marek

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Marek (1,644) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,689).

Marek win39 %

Draw30 %

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	4-2	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Montana(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 7, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Spartak Pleven(away)	1-2	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Fratria(away)	1-0	Second League

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Hebar 1918(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 17, 2026	CSKA Sofia II(home)	0-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Vihren(away)	1-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Beroe(home)	1-0	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)	1-1	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Marek win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 11, 2026	Marek 3-0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	Second League
Nov 8, 2025	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3-0 Marek	Second League
Nov 29, 2023	Marek 3-1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	Second League
Jul 18, 2023	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-2 Marek	Second League

Last archived meeting: Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on May 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marek	1.0	0.9	7	4/15	6/15
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1.0	0.9	5	6/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Marek	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
15	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	5	1	2	2	3	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?: The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
Where and when is Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas played?: Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.