Berwick Rangers vs Hibernian U21: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Shielfield Park, Berwick-upon-Tweed, Northumberland
The Footlab model makes Berwick Rangers the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Hibernian U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berwick Rangers vs Hibernian U21?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Berwick Rangers (1,460) and Hibernian U21 (1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berwick Rangers have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hibernian U21 have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brechin(away) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Montrose(away) | 4-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Peterhead(away) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Cove Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hibernian U21 score 1.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berwick Rangers | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Hibernian U21 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berwick Rangers vs Hibernian U21?
- The Footlab model makes Berwick Rangers the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Hibernian U21.
- Where and when is Berwick Rangers vs Hibernian U21 played?
- Berwick Rangers vs Hibernian U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Shielfield Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.