Match

Stranraer vs Celtic II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer

StranraerCeltic II

The Footlab model makes Stranraer the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Celtic II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stranraer vs Celtic II?

Celtic II starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,542).

Stranraer win40 %
Draw23 %
Celtic II win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Celtic II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stranraer
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stirling Albion(away)2-2League Two
Aug 15, 2026Spartans(home)1-0League Two
Aug 11, 2026Alloa Athletic(away)1-2Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Annan Athletic(home)0-1League Two
Aug 1, 2026Clyde(away)1-3League Two
Celtic II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cumnock Juniors(home)4-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Dalbeattie Star(away)5-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 12, 2026Hamilton Academical(away)3-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Renfrew(away)5-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026 Johnstone Burgh(home)1-1Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Stranraer score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stranraer1.01.356/157/15
Celtic II2.92.1114/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Celtic II?
The Footlab model makes Stranraer the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Celtic II.
Where and when is Stranraer vs Celtic II played?
Stranraer vs Celtic II is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stranraer and Celtic II

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