Annan Athletic vs Motherwell U21: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Galabank, Annan
The Footlab model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Motherwell U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Annan Athletic vs Motherwell U21?
Annan Athletic starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,488 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annan Athletic have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Motherwell U21 have 1, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 3-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Stranraer(away) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Clyde(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Annan Athletic score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Motherwell U21 score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Motherwell U21 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 4 | 4/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Annan Athletic vs Motherwell U21?
- The Footlab model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Motherwell U21.
- Where and when is Annan Athletic vs Motherwell U21 played?
- Annan Athletic vs Motherwell U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Galabank, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.