Where and when is Berwick Rangers vs Queen of the South played?

Berwick Rangers vs Queen of the South is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Shielfield Park, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Berwick Rangers vs Queen of the South: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Shielfield Park, Berwick-upon-Tweed, Northumberland

Berwick Rangers

Queen of the South

The Footlab model makes Berwick Rangers the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Queen of the South. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Berwick Rangers vs Queen of the South?

Queen of the South starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,608 vs 1,491).

Berwick Rangers win40 %

Draw23 %

Queen of the South win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berwick Rangers have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Queen of the South have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Berwick Rangers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Annan Athletic(away)	2-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home)	0-2	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026	Stirling University(home)	3-2	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026	Hearts U21(home)	3-4	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Brechin(away)	3-4	Football League - Lowland League

Queen of the South
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Hibernian U21(home)	1-0	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Alloa Athletic(home)	0-2	League One
Aug 11, 2026	Cumbernauld Colts(home)	4-0	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Peterhead(home)	0-1	League One
Aug 1, 2026	East Kilbride(away)	1-5	League One

How many goals should we expect?

Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Berwick Rangers	1.9	1.9	3	9/15	8/15
Queen of the South	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Berwick Rangers vs Queen of the South?: The Footlab model makes Berwick Rangers the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Queen of the South.
Where and when is Berwick Rangers vs Queen of the South played?: Berwick Rangers vs Queen of the South is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Shielfield Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.