Montrose vs Dundee United II: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Dundee United II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montrose vs Dundee United II?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Montrose (1,614) and Dundee United II (1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dundee United II have 2, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-5 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-6 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Cove Rangers(away) | 1-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Spartans(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Peterhead(away) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee United II score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Dundee United II | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 3/12 | 9/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Dundee United II?
- The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Dundee United II.
- Where and when is Montrose vs Dundee United II played?
- Montrose vs Dundee United II is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 13, 2026Annan AthleticvsAlloa Athletic
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