Match

Ross County vs Forfar Athletic: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall

Ross CountyForfar Athletic

The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?

Ross County starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,531).

Ross County win77 %
Draw14 %
Forfar Athletic win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ross County have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Forfar Athletic have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ross County
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Airdrie United(away)3-1League One
Aug 15, 2026Dunfermline(away)2-1League Cup
Aug 11, 2026Elgin City(away)2-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Montrose(home)2-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Peterhead(away)1-0League One
Forfar Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Clyde(away)0-3League Two
Aug 15, 2026Stirling Albion(home)3-0League Two
Aug 11, 2026Aberdeen U21(home)0-3Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Elgin City(away)1-1League Two
Aug 1, 2026Kelty Hearts(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ross County win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Forfar Athletic win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 10, 2021Forfar Athletic 3-0 Ross CountyLeague Cup
Jul 24, 2019Ross County 2-0 Forfar AthleticLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Ross County on Jul 10, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Ross County score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ross County2.70.9510/1512/15
Forfar Athletic0.92.526/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?
The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Forfar Athletic.
Where and when is Ross County vs Forfar Athletic played?
Ross County vs Forfar Athletic is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Global Energy Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ross County and Forfar Athletic

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