Ross County vs Forfar Athletic: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?
Ross County starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ross County have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Forfar Athletic have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ross County win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Forfar Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2021 | Forfar Athletic 3-0 Ross County | League Cup |
| Jul 24, 2019 | Ross County 2-0 Forfar Athletic | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Ross County on Jul 10, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Ross County score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross County | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Forfar Athletic | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Forfar Athletic.
- Where and when is Ross County vs Forfar Athletic played?
- Ross County vs Forfar Athletic is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Global Energy Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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