Match

Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Galabank, Annan

Annan AthleticAlloa Athletic

The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Annan Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic?

Alloa Athletic starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,488).

Annan Athletic win35 %
Draw23 %
Alloa Athletic win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annan Athletic have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Alloa Athletic have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Annan Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Edinburgh City(away)0-1League Two
Aug 15, 2026Clyde(home)1-2League Two
Aug 11, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away)0-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Stranraer(away)1-0League Two
Aug 1, 2026Spartans(home)2-4League Two
Alloa Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Queen of the South(away)2-0League One
Aug 15, 2026Montrose(home)3-0League One
Aug 11, 2026Stranraer(home)2-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Hamilton Academical(away)0-1League One
Aug 1, 2026East Fife(home)0-0League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Annan Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Alloa Athletic win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2025Alloa Athletic 1-0 Annan AthleticLeague One
Feb 22, 2025Annan Athletic 3-4 Alloa AthleticLeague One
Nov 2, 2024Alloa Athletic 5-0 Annan AthleticLeague One
Aug 24, 2024Annan Athletic 0-1 Alloa AthleticLeague One
Mar 30, 2024Alloa Athletic 1-1 Annan AthleticLeague One
Feb 13, 2024Alloa Athletic 2-1 Annan AthleticLeague One

Last archived meeting: Alloa Athletic vs Annan Athletic on Apr 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Annan Athletic score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alloa Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Annan Athletic1.22.329/1510/15
Alloa Athletic1.41.266/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic?
The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Annan Athletic.
Where and when is Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic played?
Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Galabank, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Annan Athletic and Alloa Athletic

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