Where and when is Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II played?

Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Central Park, Cowdenbeath

Cowdenbeath

Celtic II

The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Cowdenbeath. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II?

Celtic II starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,659 vs 1,493).

Cowdenbeath win37 %

Draw22 %

Celtic II win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cowdenbeath have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Celtic II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cowdenbeath
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stirling University(home)	4-2	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026	Edinburgh City(away)	1-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Broxburn Athletic(home)	0-2	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026	Civil Service Strollers(away)	2-3	Football League - Lowland League
Jul 28, 2026	Tranent Juniors(away)	0-1	Football League - Lowland League

Celtic II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cumnock Juniors(home)	4-1	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026	Dalbeattie Star(away)	5-1	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 12, 2026	Hamilton Academical(away)	3-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Renfrew(away)	5-3	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026	Johnstone Burgh(home)	1-1	Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cowdenbeath win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Celtic II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2026	Celtic II 2-2 Cowdenbeath	Football League - Lowland League
Nov 22, 2025	Cowdenbeath 2-1 Celtic II	Football League - Lowland League
Apr 12, 2025	Celtic II 6-4 Cowdenbeath	Football League - Lowland League
Nov 2, 2024	Cowdenbeath 2-2 Celtic II	Football League - Lowland League
Dec 9, 2023	Cowdenbeath 3-3 Celtic II	Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2023	Celtic II 2-2 Cowdenbeath	Football League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: Celtic II vs Cowdenbeath on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cowdenbeath score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cowdenbeath	1.3	1.7	2	8/15	9/15
Celtic II	2.9	2.1	1	14/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II?: The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Cowdenbeath.
Where and when is Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II played?: Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.