Match

Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London

Crystal PalaceReal Sociedad

The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,506 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (2,128 vs 1,997).

31%26%43%
Crystal Palace winDrawReal Sociedad win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
  1. 14J. Mateta
  1. 3T. Mitchell
  2. 20A. Wharton
  3. 10Yeremy Pino
  4. 18D. Kamada
  5. 23Q. Timber
  6. 25A. Khalaili
  1. 26C. Richards
  2. 6J. Canvot
  3. 5A. Disasi
  1. 1D. Henderson

Real Sociedad

4-4-2
  1. 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  2. 9O. Óskarsson
  1. 4Jon Gorrotxategi
  2. 7Barrenetxea
  3. 11Gonçalo Guedes
  4. 18Carlos Soler
  1. 19M. Sarr
  2. 5Zubeldia
  3. 17Sergio Gómez
  4. 2J. Aramburu
  1. 13Unai Marrero

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 03:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Sociedad have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crystal Palace
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Liverpool(home)1-3Premier League
Nov 5, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026Tottenham(away)0-2Premier League
Oct 28, 2026Fulham(away)1-0League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Newcastle(home)0-2Premier League
Real Sociedad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Rayo Vallecano(home)1-0La Liga
Nov 5, 2026Lyon(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Nov 1, 2026Athletic Club(away)1-2La Liga
Oct 25, 2026Levante(home)2-1La Liga
Oct 22, 2026Lillestrom(away)6-0UEFA Europa League

How many goals should we expect?

Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace1.51.747/159/15
Real Sociedad2.01.5311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Crystal Palace sit 21st in UEFA Europa League (5 points from 4 matches) and Real Sociedad sit 20th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
20Real Sociedad4121945
21Crystal Palace4121965

A question about Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Crystal Palace.
Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad played?
Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad is played on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Crystal Palace and Real Sociedad