Billericay Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AGP Arena, Billericay, Essex
The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Billericay Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Billericay Town starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Billericay Town have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 4-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| May 4, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Billericay Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 Billericay Town | National League - South |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Billericay Town 2-3 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Nov 3, 2020 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-4 Billericay Town | National League - South |
| Aug 26, 2019 | Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0 Billericay Town | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Billericay Town on Feb 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Billericay Town score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billericay Town | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Billericay Town sit 8th in National League - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Billericay Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Billericay Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Billericay Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Billericay Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AGP Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 31, 2026BraintreevsHampton & Richmond
- Oct 31, 2026MaidenheadvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Oct 31, 2026Truro CityvsEbbsfleet United
- Oct 31, 2026Chesham UnitedvsFolkestone Invicta
- Oct 31, 2026AFC TottonvsChelmsford City
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