Where and when is Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United played?

Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall

Truro City

Ebbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Truro City (1,752) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).

Truro City win38 %

Draw26 %

Ebbsfleet United win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Truro City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Southampton U21(home)	2-1	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Chelmsford City(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	2-0	National League - South
Jul 25, 2026	Plymouth(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Ebbsfleet United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Gillingham(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Cray Valley PM(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Dartford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-2	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Truro City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 10, 2011	Truro City 2-5 Ebbsfleet United	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United on Dec 10, 2011

How many goals should we expect?

Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Truro City	1.0	0.6	7	4/15	3/15
Ebbsfleet United	1.9	1.5	3	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Truro City	3	2	1	0	4	0	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United?: The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United played?: Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.