Chesham United vs Folkestone Invicta: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Folkestone Invicta wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Folkestone Invicta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Folkestone Invicta
Not enough data to predict the Folkestone Invicta lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Folkestone Invicta have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ware(home) | 7-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Folkestone Invicta score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Folkestone Invicta | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 19th in National League - South (10 points from 11 matches) and Folkestone Invicta sit 12th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Chesham United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Folkestone Invicta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Folkestone Invicta played?
- Chesham United vs Folkestone Invicta is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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