Match

AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Snows Stadium, Totton, Hampshire

AFC TottonChelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate AFC Totton (1,823) and Chelmsford City (1,874).

AFC Totton win26 %
Draw23 %
Chelmsford City win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Totton have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Totton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-3National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Billericay Town(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-0National League - South
Jul 11, 2026Sutton Utd(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Farnborough(home)1-6National League - South
Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AFC Totton win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chelmsford City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Chelmsford City 1-1 AFC TottonNational League - South
Oct 25, 2025AFC Totton 2-1 Chelmsford CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton on Mar 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AFC Totton1.21.929/1510/15
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Totton sit 11th in National League - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11AFC Totton3201236
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City?
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for AFC Totton.
Where and when is AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City played?
AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Snows Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AFC Totton and Chelmsford City

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