AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Snows Stadium, Totton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate AFC Totton (1,823) and Chelmsford City (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Totton have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-6 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AFC Totton win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chelmsford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Chelmsford City 1-1 AFC Totton | National League - South |
| Oct 25, 2025 | AFC Totton 2-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton on Mar 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Totton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Totton sit 11th in National League - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for AFC Totton.
- Where and when is AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City played?
- AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Snows Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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