Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Dagenham & Redbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,811) and Dagenham & Redbridge (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dagenham & Redbridge have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maidenhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maidenhead 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Maidenhead | National League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Maidenhead 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Dagenham & Redbridge 4-1 Maidenhead | National League |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Maidenhead 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Dagenham & Redbridge.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge played?
- Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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