Match

Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset

Weston-super-MareEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Weston-super-Mare (1,834) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).

Weston-super-Mare win42 %
Draw27 %
Ebbsfleet United win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weston-super-Mare
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dover(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Torquay(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chesham United(home)3-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Gloucester City(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Weston-super-Mare win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Ebbsfleet United 1-3 Weston-super-MareNational League - South
Nov 18, 2025Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Weston-super-Mare1.20.975/155/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Weston-super-Mare4211837

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Weston-super-Mare and Ebbsfleet United

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