Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Weston-super-Mare (1,880) and Ebbsfleet United (1,932).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Weston-super-Mare
4-2-3-1- 22G. Robesten
- 3D. Bernard
- 12W. Dawes
- 15Emlyn Lewis
- 14Jason Pope
- 4Jacob Cane
- 2M. Smith
- 6S. Avery
- 21D. Martin
- 23Bak
- 1M. Harris
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 1-6 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 6-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Weston-super-Mare wins, 0 draws, 1 Ebbsfleet United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 6-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 1-3 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weston-super-Mare score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weston-super-Mare sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 12 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 2nd (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Weston-super-Mare.
- Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsFarnborough
- Apr 10, 2027TorquayvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Apr 10, 2027DovervsWalton & Hersham
- Apr 10, 2027BraintreevsSalisbury
- Apr 10, 2027MaidenheadvsMaidstone Utd
- Apr 10, 2027Billericay TownvsTruro City
- Apr 10, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsDorking Wanderers
- Apr 10, 2027Chesham UnitedvsTonbridge Angels