Truro City vs Farnborough: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall
The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Truro City vs Farnborough?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Truro City (1,752) and Farnborough (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Truro City win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Farnborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | Truro City 1-1 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Farnborough 1-1 Truro City | National League - South |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Farnborough 3-2 Truro City | National League - South |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Truro City 3-1 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Dec 11, 2021 | Truro City 2-2 Farnborough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Farnborough 2-0 Truro City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Farnborough on Feb 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro City | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Truro City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Farnborough?
- The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Truro City vs Farnborough played?
- Truro City vs Farnborough is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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