Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Infetti Ground, Birkirkara
The Footlab model makes Birkirkara the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Sliema Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Birkirkara (1,526) and Sliema Wanderers (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birkirkara have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sliema Wanderers have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Floriana(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Birkirkara win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sliema Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers 1-0 Birkirkara | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Birkirkara 1-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Birkirkara | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 2-2 Birkirkara | Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Birkirkara | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Birkirkara 0-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Birkirkara score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sliema Wanderers score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birkirkara | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sliema Wanderers | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birkirkara sit 2nd in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Sliema Wanderers sit 10th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Birkirkara | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Sliema Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Birkirkara the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Sliema Wanderers.
- Where and when is Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers played?
- Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Infetti Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.