Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
The Footlab model makes Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Zabbar St. Patrick. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Hamrun Spartans starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,622 vs 1,439).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamrun Spartans have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Zabbar St. Patrick have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | NSI Runavik(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 15, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Hamrun Spartans win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Zabbar St. Patrick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 0-1 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 0-1 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Hamrun Spartans | FA Trophy |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Hamrun Spartans 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamrun Spartans score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamrun Spartans | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamrun Spartans sit 9th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Zabbar St. Patrick sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Hamrun Spartans | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
- The Footlab model makes Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Zabbar St. Patrick.
- Where and when is Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick played?
- Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Victor Tedesco Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.