Birmingham vs Portsmouth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,262 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham vs Portsmouth?
Birmingham starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birmingham vs Portsmouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 17L. Millar
- 28J. Stansfield
- 14J. Solis
- 16P. Roberts
- 5P. Neumann
- 4C. Klarer
- 20A. Cochrane
- 2E. Laird
- 21R. Allsop
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1- 17T. Shade
- 10A. Segecic
- 11A. Kamara
- 7M. Pack
- 38E. Adams
- 37I. Mohamed
- 55M. Dia
- 5R. Poole
- 16J. Meghoma
- 24T. Devlin
- 1N. Schmid
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Portsmouth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | QPR(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Birmingham wins, 1 draw, 2 Portsmouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Portsmouth 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Birmingham 4-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2019 | Portsmouth 3-0 Birmingham | League Cup |
| Mar 20, 2012 | Portsmouth 4-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2012 | Birmingham 1-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Portsmouth vs Birmingham on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 1st in Championship (29 points from 15 matches) and Portsmouth sit 11th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 29 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 22 |
A question about Birmingham vs Portsmouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham vs Portsmouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is Birmingham vs Portsmouth played?
- Birmingham vs Portsmouth is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St Andrew's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.