Bristol City vs West Ham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Ham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,202 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol City vs West Ham?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (2,204 vs 1,940).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol City vs West Ham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 21Rio Cardines
- 27G. Yah
- 19G. Tanner
- 5R. Atkinson
- 3C. Pring
- 15L. McNally
- 1S. Tickle
West Ham
4-2-3-1- 19Pablo
- 7A. Engels
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 14D. Mukasa
- 17M. Kanté
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 5Morato
- 34J. Veltman
- 1M. Hermansen
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; West Ham have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Bristol City win, 3 draws, 1 West Ham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | Bristol City 1-0 West Ham | FA Cup |
| Jan 7, 2024 | West Ham 1-1 Bristol City | FA Cup |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Bristol City 0-1 West Ham | FA Cup |
| Apr 17, 2012 | Bristol City 1-1 West Ham | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2011 | West Ham 0-0 Bristol City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs West Ham on Jan 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; West Ham score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| West Ham | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 15th in Championship (14 points from 11 matches) and West Ham sit 3rd (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 22 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Bristol City vs West Ham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs West Ham?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Bristol City vs West Ham played?
- Bristol City vs West Ham is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.