West Brom vs Stoke City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab AI model makes West Brom the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Brom wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs Stoke City?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate West Brom (1,989) and Stoke City (1,942).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Brom vs Stoke City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Brom
4-4-2- 20R. Nzingoula
- 11J. Morgan
- 21I. Price
- 15Tobias Christopher Collyer
- 8J. Molumby
- 29Harry Whitwell
- 4C. Styles
- 2C. Mepham
- 18B. Pereira
- 6G. Campbell
- 1M. O’Leary
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Stoke City have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 West Brom wins, 4 draws, 0 Stoke City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | West Brom 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stoke City 0-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | West Brom 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Stoke City 1-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Stoke City 2-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2023 | West Brom 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: West Brom vs Stoke City on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 5th in Championship (20 points from 11 matches) and Stoke City sit 6th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
A question about West Brom vs Stoke City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Stoke City?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Brom the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is West Brom vs Stoke City played?
- West Brom vs Stoke City is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.