West Brom vs Stoke City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs Stoke City?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate West Brom (1,891) and Stoke City (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Stoke City have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Everton(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 West Brom win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Stoke City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | West Brom 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stoke City 0-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | West Brom 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Stoke City 1-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Stoke City 2-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2023 | West Brom 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: West Brom vs Stoke City on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 2nd in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Stoke City sit 21st (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Stoke City?
- The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is West Brom vs Stoke City played?
- West Brom vs Stoke City is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.