Burnley vs Sheffield Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sheffield Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs Sheffield Utd?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Burnley (1,939) and Sheffield Utd (1,966).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley vs Sheffield Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 23Lucas Pires
- 37G. Coudert
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2- 45P. Bamford
- 9T. Cannon
- 42Sydie Peck
- 22B. Brereton
- 7J. Rothwell
- 19T. Chong
- 5J. Tanganga
- 8H. Choudhury
- 15L. Kitching
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Sheffield Utd have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Burnley wins, 0 draws, 1 Sheffield Utd win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Burnley 2-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 0-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 1-4 Burnley | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Burnley 5-0 Sheffield Utd | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Burnley 2-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Sheffield Utd 5-2 Burnley | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Burnley vs Sheffield Utd on Apr 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 21st in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and Sheffield Utd sit 15th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Burnley vs Sheffield Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Sheffield Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sheffield Utd.
- Where and when is Burnley vs Sheffield Utd played?
- Burnley vs Sheffield Utd is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.