Burnley vs Sheffield Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab model makes Burnley the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sheffield Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs Sheffield Utd?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Burnley (1,926) and Sheffield Utd (1,929).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 0 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats; Sheffield Utd have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torino(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Burnley win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sheffield Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Burnley 2-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 0-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 1-4 Burnley | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Burnley 5-0 Sheffield Utd | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Burnley 2-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Sheffield Utd 5-2 Burnley | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Burnley vs Sheffield Utd on Apr 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Utd score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 18th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Sheffield Utd sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Sheffield Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Burnley the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sheffield Utd.
- Where and when is Burnley vs Sheffield Utd played?
- Burnley vs Sheffield Utd is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.