Biwako Shiga vs Matsumoto Yamaga: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, Higashiomi
The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Biwako Shiga (1,713) and Matsumoto Yamaga (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biwako Shiga have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Matsumoto Yamaga have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Japan Soccer College(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 0-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Biwako Shiga win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-3 Biwako Shiga | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Biwako Shiga on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biwako Shiga | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Biwako Shiga sit 6th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Biwako Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Biwako Shiga vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
- The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Biwako Shiga.
- Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Matsumoto Yamaga played?
- Biwako Shiga vs Matsumoto Yamaga is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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