Kagoshima United vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Parceiro Nagano?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Albirex Niigata(away) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-6 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kagoshima United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Parceiro Nagano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Kagoshima United 6-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Kagoshima United 1-2 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Kagoshima United 4-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Parceiro Nagano 2-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Parceiro Nagano on Aug 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.8 | 1.4 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Parceiro Nagano sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Parceiro Nagano?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Parceiro Nagano played?
- Kagoshima United vs Parceiro Nagano is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.