Match

Gainare Tottori vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori

Gainare TottoriKitakyushu

The Footlab AI model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kitakyushu wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gainare Tottori vs Kitakyushu?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Gainare Tottori (1,705) and Kitakyushu (1,682).

27%28%45%
Gainare Tottori winDrawKitakyushu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gainare Tottori vs Kitakyushu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gainare Tottori

4-3-3
  1. 9Daiki Shinoda
  2. 29H. Konishi
  3. 24K. Hoshi
  1. 27K. Hombo
  2. 15Tatsuya Kiuchi
  3. 16Yusaku Tasei
  1. 55H. Oshima
  2. 14T. Kawamura
  3. 3S. Van Eerden
  4. 4S. Nikaido
  1. 47Ryo Momoi

Kitakyushu

4-3-3
  1. 11Koh Seung-Jin
  2. 37K. Yoshida
  3. 52M. Nishimura
  1. 66D. Takahashi
  2. 18S. Hiramatsu
  3. 8M. Yoshinaga
  1. 20S. Yasumitsu
  2. 28K. Yokokubo
  3. 30K. Fukumori
  4. 5T. Narasaka
  1. 31K. Otani

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainare Tottori have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Kitakyushu have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gainare Tottori
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-1J3 League
Nov 3, 2026Sagamihara(home)0-1J3 League
Oct 31, 2026FC Ryukyu(away)2-5J3 League
Oct 25, 2026Kochi United(home)0-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)0-3J3 League
Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-1J3 League
Nov 3, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)0-1J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 25, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Fukushima United(away)1-2J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gainare Tottori wins, 1 draw, 1 Kitakyushu win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Kitakyushu 2-4 Gainare TottoriJ3 League
May 10, 2026Gainare Tottori 1-1 KitakyushuJ2/J3 League
Feb 7, 2026Kitakyushu 1-3 Gainare TottoriJ2/J3 League
Nov 16, 2025Gainare Tottori 3-2 KitakyushuJ3 League
Jun 28, 2025Kitakyushu 1-2 Gainare TottoriJ3 League
Jul 6, 2024Gainare Tottori 1-2 KitakyushuJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gainare Tottori score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gainare Tottori1.01.846/157/15
Kitakyushu1.31.638/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gainare Tottori sit 17th in J3 League (15 points from 16 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 13th (19 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Kitakyushu16547212419
17Gainare Tottori16439153015

A question about Gainare Tottori vs Kitakyushu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gainare Tottori vs Kitakyushu?
The Footlab AI model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Gainare Tottori.
Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Kitakyushu played?
Gainare Tottori vs Kitakyushu is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gainare Tottori and Kitakyushu

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