Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno
The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Kochi United (1,636) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kochi United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Kochi United 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-2 Kochi United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kochi United sit 11th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
- The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
- Where and when is Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?
- Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.