Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara played?

Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso Kumamoto

Sagamihara

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and Sagamihara (1,770).

Roasso Kumamoto win34 %

Draw28 %

Sagamihara win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	0-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sagamihara(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Sagamihara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	4-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-0	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	4-3	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sagamihara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Sagamihara 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Sagamihara 3-0 Roasso Kumamoto	J2/J3 League
Oct 25, 2020	Sagamihara 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto	J3 League
Sep 12, 2020	Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Sagamihara	J3 League
Nov 24, 2019	Sagamihara 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto	J3 League
Apr 7, 2019	Roasso Kumamoto 2-3 Sagamihara	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto	0.9	1.1	6	5/15	5/15
Sagamihara	1.8	1.5	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Sagamihara	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
17	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara?: The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara played?: Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.