Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoSagamihara

The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sagamihara wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,712 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,798) and Sagamihara (1,795).

32%27%41%
Roasso Kumamoto winDrawSagamihara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Roasso Kumamoto

4-3-3
  1. 9Bae Jeong-Min
  2. 10Y. Katori
  3. 22E. Matsuda
  1. 4Rei Yakushida
  2. 29N. Mishina
  3. 25K. Nasu
  1. 24Ri Thae-Ha
  2. 41Y. Omoto
  3. 26Shumpei Toda
  4. 30S. Nagashima
  1. 1S. Sato

Sagamihara

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Sasaki
  2. 3K. Pytlik
  3. 15T. Maeda
  1. 10R. Nakayama
  2. 24R. Sugimoto
  3. 8Kosuke Kambe
  1. 19S. Okita
  2. 5R. Yamauchi
  3. 4T. Shimakawa
  4. 13M. Tokida
  1. 21Kim Min-Ho

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sagamihara have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026FC Gifu(home)2-1J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)3-0J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(away)3-0J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Ehime FC(home)0-2J3 League
Oct 2, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)0-0J3 League
Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026FC Gifu(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)3-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Osaka(home)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Roasso Kumamoto win, 1 draw, 4 Sagamihara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara 0-0 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League
Jun 6, 2026Sagamihara 3-0 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League
Oct 25, 2020Sagamihara 1-0 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League
Sep 12, 2020Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 SagamiharaJ3 League
Nov 24, 2019Sagamihara 1-0 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League
Apr 7, 2019Roasso Kumamoto 2-3 SagamiharaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto1.30.784/156/15
Sagamihara1.61.159/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 5th in J3 League (23 points from 13 matches) and Sagamihara sit 8th (22 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Roasso Kumamoto1365215723
8Sagamihara13643211422

A question about Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara?
The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagamihara is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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