Blackburn vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Blackburn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackburn vs Southampton?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,927).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blackburn vs Southampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 3H. Pickering
- 6Tom Atcheson
- 22B. Tóth
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 3R. Manning
- 1Daniel Peretz
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackburn have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Southampton have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Blackburn win, 1 draw, 2 Southampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Southampton 3-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Blackburn 2-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Blackburn 0-0 Southampton | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Southampton 4-0 Blackburn | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs Blackburn on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blackburn score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Southampton | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackburn sit 10th in Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and Southampton sit 8th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Blackburn vs Southampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Southampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Blackburn.
- Where and when is Blackburn vs Southampton played?
- Blackburn vs Southampton is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ewood Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.