Cardiff vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff vs Bristol City?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Cardiff (2,013) and Bristol City (1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cardiff vs Bristol City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 8J. Moylan
- 18A. Robertson
- 11O. Tanner
- 27J. Colwill
- 45Cian Ashford
- 16C. Willock
- 3J. Bagan
- 4G. Osho
- 38P. Ng
- 5K. Bielik
- 1N. Trott
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 21Rio Cardines
- 27G. Yah
- 19G. Tanner
- 5R. Atkinson
- 3C. Pring
- 15L. McNally
- 1S. Tickle
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cardiff wins, 2 draws, 1 Bristol City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Cardiff 1-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Bristol City 0-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Cardiff 2-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Cardiff 2-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Bristol City 2-0 Cardiff | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Cardiff vs Bristol City on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 19th in Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Bristol City sit 16th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Cardiff vs Bristol City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Cardiff vs Bristol City played?
- Cardiff vs Bristol City is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cardiff City Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.