Blauw Geel vs Zwaluwen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieMatchday 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, Veghel
The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Zwaluwen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blauw Geel wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blauw Geel vs Zwaluwen?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Blauw Geel (1,764) and Zwaluwen (1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blauw Geel vs Zwaluwen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9Lars Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7Ben van de Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9Dave de Meij
- 8Hidde Van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 5Bram Eltink
- 2Jay van Boxtel
- 19Sjoerd Schobbers
- 1Jordy Zielschot
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 12Raoul Gillet
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 14Nick Rutten
- 18Floris Keizerwaard
- 15Youri Verschoor
- 23Marvin van Tienen
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blauw Geel have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Zwaluwen have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Blauw Geel wins, 1 draw, 1 Zwaluwen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen 3-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Blauw Geel 2-2 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blauw Geel score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zwaluwen score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw Geel | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Zwaluwen | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blauw Geel sit 11th in Derde Divisie (15 points from 12 matches) and Zwaluwen sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zwaluwen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
A question about Blauw Geel vs Zwaluwen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blauw Geel vs Zwaluwen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Zwaluwen.
- Where and when is Blauw Geel vs Zwaluwen played?
- Blauw Geel vs Zwaluwen is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.